November 2014 – Where Is Immigration Reform?

And what of Immigration Reform?

November 2012 seemed to represent a sea of change in the immigration reform stalemate, tilting the balance in favor of comprehensive changes. Recalcitrant opposition at various points following the 2012 election seemed to have blunted any positive impact and in the last two years, all attempts to make comprehensive changes have fallen short somewhere in the legislative process. Many areas demand pressing reform: undocumented migrants (11-12 million), low caps on H1B visas, absurdly long processing times. Even piecemeal attempts have come up empty. An executive order possibility was shelved in September, possibly waiting until after the November 2014 midterm elections to make an appearance.

The executive order possibility was tabled for the sake of scared Democratic congresspersons who feared a presidential action on immigration injuring their chances at re-election. Democrats lost control of the Senate after holding it for eight years and ceded even more seats in the House, giving Republicans an even larger majority. With the Senate and House firmly in Republican control and the White House Democrat for the next years, the signs are inauspicious for immigration reform.

An executive order is promised, but whether that will be able to effect comprehensive change is questionable. President Obama’s June 2012 executive order – DACA (read more about DACA – Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals –  here) – has been the most significant piece of immigration action recently, but it is only a nibble where a larger bite is required to attack the overall plate of problems.

President Bush and Senator McCain were maligned for supporting DREAM Act-esque immigration reform in 2007. Despite the widespread acceptance of the need to solve the myriad of immigration problems throughout the political spectrum, implacable and vociferous opposition seems poised to delay action even more. Considering the adeptness and fortitude that reformers have shown in their efforts to keep specks of immigration reform alive when prospects seem bleak, it is unwise to count on the door being shut on meaningful immigration reform. However, the optimism of November 2012 has definitely been eclipsed.